209 E Main St

Tecumseh, OK 74873

$87,000A-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,384 sqft · Built 1928 · SingleFamily · Pending · 103 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,200/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$456
• Tax + insurance: −$145
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$252
• Net cashflow: $347/mo
• Annual: $4,161/yr
• Cap rate: 11.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.08%
• DSCR: 1.76
• 1% rule: 1.38%
• Cash to close: $24,360

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $87k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
• It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $79k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $9k of equity ($601 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#45 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Tecumseh (town): math 13% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #215 of 270 in OK (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Cross Timbers Es (math 12% / reading 15%, grade F, #642 of 845 statewide, top 76%, 409 students, 0% FRL); Tecumseh Hs (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 616 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 183 units permitted in Pottawatomie County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Pottawatomie County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 5 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 5.9% in Tecumseh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.