3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,292 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,096/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$703
Tax + insurance
−$223
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$230
Net cashflow
$-61/mo
Annual
$-727/yr
Cap rate
5.75%
Cash-on-cash
-1.94%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$37,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $134k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-61 ($-727/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $125k (6.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (18.2% below list).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($926 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,100 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime D-.
Fort Elliott CISD (rural): math 55% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #90 of 1,141 in TX (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP.
Wheeler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The independent satellite image shows a dilapidated roof with visible damage.
Major: exterior siding
— The independent satellite image shows a dilapidated structure with visible damage to the siding.
Major: foundation
— The independent satellite image shows a dilapidated structure with visible damage to the foundation.
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29