2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
966 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Townhouse
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,521/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$344
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$319
Net cashflow
$-40/mo
Annual
$-479/yr
Cap rate
5.92%
Cash-on-cash
-1.32%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-479/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (4.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $124k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#50 in MN, #1,308 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
Osseo Public School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #129 of 301 in MN (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $100k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.3% in Brooklyn Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and worn
Moderate: countertops
— cluttered and worn
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— basic and cluttered
CashFlowRE · CFR-K7FFVA5PDJ94RW
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29