1 bd · None ba ·
3,180 sqft ·
Built —
· Other
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,198/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$324/mo
Annual
$3,894/yr
Cap rate
10.62%
Cash-on-cash
15.45%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/?-bath other listed at $90k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#282 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Whitney ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #378 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 644 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Hill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hill County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.0% in Whitney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears old and possibly leaking.
Major: exterior siding
— The siding is peeling and in need of repainting or replacement.
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· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29