5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 1993
· Other
· Active
· 71 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,285/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$695
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$128/mo
Annual
$1,535/yr
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.14%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$37,100
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $132k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (3.0% below list).
It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $125k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $809 of equity ($916 loan paydown + $-107 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,074 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
Sullivan County SD (rural): math 30% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #387 of 539 in PA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sullivan County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.9% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K7RTNACTCK3357
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29