1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,059/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$188
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$852
Net cashflow
$2,552/mo
Annual
$30,619/yr
Cap rate
40.70%
Cash-on-cash
122.87%
DSCR
6.47
1% rule
4.56%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $89k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#513 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
West Carroll CUSD 314 (rural): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #498 of 620 in IL (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: West Carroll Primary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,278 of 2,056 statewide, top 65%, 416 students, 0% FRL); West Carroll Middle School (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #460 of 665 statewide, top 72%, 193 students, 0% FRL); West Carroll High School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #462 of 693 statewide, top 68%, 286 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carroll County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears old and possibly leaking.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding and paint appear worn and faded.
Major: interior walls/paint
— The interior walls and paint are not visible, but the exterior suggests they may be in poor condition.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible signs of HVAC or mechanical systems in the photos.
Major: landscaping/curb appeal
— The landscaping and curb appeal are not visible, but the exterior suggests they may be in poor condition.
Major: windows
— The windows appear old and possibly in need of replacement, as indicated by the satellite image and exterior condition.
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· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29