2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Manufactured
· Active
· 173 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$820/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$328
Tax + insurance
−$104
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$172
Net cashflow
$216/mo
Annual
$2,591/yr
Cap rate
10.44%
Cash-on-cash
14.80%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$17,500
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $62k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($820 rent vs $62k).
It's been on market 173 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $432 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#483 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Anadarko (town): math 12% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #245 of 270 in OK (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mission Es (math 9% / reading 12%, grade F, #692 of 845 statewide, top 82%, 191 students, 0% FRL); Anadarko Hs (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #359 of 447 statewide, top 80%, 409 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 75% district-wide (75 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Caddo County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
8 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $5k; list at $62k implies a 1150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 173 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K8H7TF7AD3087P
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29