1255 Balsam Rd

Wilmer, TX 75141

$236,999D

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,411 sqft · Built 2025 · Land · Pending · 9 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,922/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,243
• Tax + insurance: −$205
• HOA: −$76
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$404
• Net cashflow: $-5/mo
• Annual: $-59/yr
• Cap rate: 6.27%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.09%
• DSCR: 1.00
• 1% rule: 0.81%
• Cash to close: $66,360

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $237k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-59/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (0.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (18.9% below list).
• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $192k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,054 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Eddie Bernice Johnson Stem Academy (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 502 students, 92% FRL); Kennedy-Curry Middle (math 29% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,279 of 1,662 statewide, top 78%, 626 students, 100% FRL); Wilmer-Hutchins H S (math 14% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,020 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools at 88% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.8% in Wilmer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.