3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,020 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,696/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$356
Net cashflow
$303/mo
Annual
$3,632/yr
Cap rate
8.37%
Cash-on-cash
7.41%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (3.1% below list).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $170k (3.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#61 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
St. John The Baptist Parish (suburban): math 13% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #68 of 98 in LA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Laplace Elementary School (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #443 of 646 statewide, top 69%, 787 students, 38% FRL); East St. John Preparatory Academy (math 6% / reading 16%, grade F, #195 of 218 statewide, top 90%, 392 students, 63% FRL); East St. John High School (math 19% / reading 25%, grade F, #171 of 265 statewide, top 66%, 1,459 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 82% district-wide (33 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in St. John the Baptist Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. John the Baptist County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $134k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.8% in Laplace — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K8WGTF1FY9VA9G
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29