2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
915 sqft ·
Built 1930
· Condo
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,207/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,701
Tax + insurance
−$858
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$884
Net cashflow
$-235/mo
Annual
$-2,823/yr
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.96%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$144,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $515k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-235 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $481k (6.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $421k (18.3% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $421k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#45 in NY, #695 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, crime A; Watch: cost of living F.
Garden City Union Free School District (suburban): math 89% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #16 of 590 in NY (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 1% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Stewart School (math 85% / reading 82%, grade A+, #128 of 2,108 statewide, top 6%, 707 students, 3% FRL); Garden City Middle School (math 88% / reading 87%, grade A+, #8 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 928 students, 4% FRL); Garden City High School (math 100% / reading 82%, grade A+, #226 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 1,090 students, 6% FRL) — zoned schools at 4% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.2% in Garden City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29