6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,140 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 173 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,763/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,463
Tax + insurance
−$261
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$790
Net cashflow
$1,249/mo
Annual
$14,984/yr
Cap rate
11.66%
Cash-on-cash
19.18%
DSCR
1.85
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$78,120
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3.0-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $279k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $624/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $279k).
It's been on market 173 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Dr Weeks Elementary School (math 4% / reading 12%, grade F, #2,086 of 2,108 statewide, top 99%, 714 students, 91% FRL); Lincoln Middle School (math 8% / reading 14%, grade F, #721 of 729 statewide, top 99%, 508 students, 90% FRL); Henninger High School (math 65% / reading 50%, grade C, #885 of 1,100 statewide, top 81%, 1,499 students, 85% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 55 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $69k; list at $279k implies a 304% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,763/mo this rent would consume 96% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1566% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 173 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-K9583M2VNPGWFQ
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29