3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,962/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,626
Tax + insurance
−$544
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$412
Net cashflow
$-620/mo
Annual
$-7,435/yr
Cap rate
3.89%
Cash-on-cash
-8.57%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$86,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $310k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-620 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (35.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (36.7% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $196k (36.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#529 in PA, #4,893 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F.
Hamburg Area SD (other): math 31% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #377 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Tilden El Center (math 31% / reading 45%, grade F, #990 of 1,518 statewide, top 66%, 566 students, 54% FRL); Hamburg Area Middle School (math 18% / reading 39%, grade F, #395 of 512 statewide, top 78%, 477 students, 54% FRL); Hamburg Area Hs (math 62% / reading 10%, grade F, #300 of 437 statewide, top 70%, 714 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 31% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K9QZ907QZD2RAK
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29