4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,782 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Manufactured
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,370/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$939
Tax + insurance
−$140
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$288
Net cashflow
$3/mo
Annual
$37/yr
Cap rate
6.31%
Cash-on-cash
0.07%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$50,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($37/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (23.5% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $137k (23.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#92 in KY, #3,738 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Barren County (rural): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #52 of 165 in KY (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Temple Hill Elementary School (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #119 of 676 statewide, top 19%, 274 students, 61% FRL); Barren County Middle School (math 25% / reading 42%, grade F, #105 of 217 statewide, top 51%, 652 students, 53% FRL); Barren County High School (math 27% / reading 41%, grade F, #89 of 254 statewide, top 36%, 1,389 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 283 units permitted in Barren County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Barren County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $81k; list at $179k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.3% in Glasgow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K9SAGP4AYA71N2
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29