8 bd · 6.0 ba ·
3,956 sqft ·
Built 1982
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,960/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,352
Tax + insurance
−$1,869
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,462
Net cashflow
$-722/mo
Annual
$-8,667/yr
Cap rate
5.25%
Cash-on-cash
-3.73%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$232,372
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $830k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-722 ($-9k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-181/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $702k (15.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $696k (16.1% below list).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($780k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $696k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#16 in TX, #1,208 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D, crime F.
Austin ISD (urban): math 33% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #431 of 826 in TX (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 537 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 17,121 units permitted in Travis County in 2024 (11,963 in 5+ unit buildings).
Travis County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $238k; list at $830k implies a 249% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 1.8% in Austin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,960/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($107k/yr) (locally 3283% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 37 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29