5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,262 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,349/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,940
Tax + insurance
−$617
HOA
−$194
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$493
Net cashflow
$-895/mo
Annual
$-10,742/yr
Cap rate
3.39%
Cash-on-cash
-10.37%
DSCR
0.54
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$103,600
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $370k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-895 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (35.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (36.5% below list).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($337k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $235k (36.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $37k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#668 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Western Wayne SD (rural): math 39% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #165 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Evergreen El Sch (math 42% / reading 68%, grade C, #498 of 1,518 statewide, top 33%, 506 students, 64% FRL); Western Wayne Ms (math 21% / reading 61%, grade F, #243 of 512 statewide, top 48%, 411 students, 57% FRL); Western Wayne Hs (math 77% / reading 24%, grade D+, #125 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 545 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 41% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 341 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $225k; list at $370k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 5.0% in The Hideout — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KA7GMN68TA37BM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29