3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,343 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 169 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,672/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,196
Tax + insurance
−$380
HOA
−$38
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$351
Net cashflow
$-293/mo
Annual
$-3,515/yr
Cap rate
4.75%
Cash-on-cash
-5.51%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$63,841
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $228k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-293 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (18.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (26.7% below list).
It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($201k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#12 in LA, #3,099 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Tangipahoa Parish (rural): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #63 of 98 in LA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1,085 units permitted in Tangipahoa Parish in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tangipahoa County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KBA1H0B31S29HQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29