3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,244 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,205/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$881
Tax + insurance
−$109
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$253
Net cashflow
$-38/mo
Annual
$-454/yr
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.97%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$47,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $168k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-38 ($-454/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (4.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (28.3% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#120 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Limestone County (rural): math 21% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #52 of 129 in AL (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cedar Hill Elementary School (math 33% / reading 52%, grade F, #209 of 627 statewide, top 34%, 578 students, 48% FRL); Ardmore High School (math 15% / reading 38%, grade F, #107 of 305 statewide, top 36%, 993 students, 50% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $82k; list at $168k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KC2P2RDJR750YQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29