3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
901 sqft ·
Built 2023
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,113/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,546
Tax + insurance
−$444
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$444
Net cashflow
$-321/mo
Annual
$-3,850/yr
Cap rate
4.99%
Cash-on-cash
-4.66%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$82,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $295k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-321 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (19.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (28.4% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $211k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#29 in ND, #4,718 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
West Fargo 6 (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #26 of 53 in ND (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Osgood Elem School (math 41% / reading 39%, grade F, #132 of 236 statewide, top 57%, 564 students, 37% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 33% / reading 39%, grade F, #23 of 35 statewide, top 65%, 1,102 students, 23% FRL); West Fargo Sheyenne High School (math 29% / reading 37%, grade F, #84 of 144 statewide, top 58%, 1,473 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 460 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,218 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (410 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cass County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.0% in Horace — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($142k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KC8GW6FZKQZ5Q8
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29