4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 1945
· Other
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,137/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$239
Net cashflow
$276/mo
Annual
$3,316/yr
Cap rate
9.98%
Cash-on-cash
13.16%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 50/100 on livability (#402 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
North Conejos School District No. Re1J (rural): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #33 of 86 in CO (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Conejos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Conejos County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen countertops
— The countertops are visibly worn and need replacement.
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— The cabinets are outdated and in poor condition.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— The bathroom fixtures are old and in need of replacement.
Major: Flooring
— The flooring is worn and in need of replacement.
Major: Interior walls
— The walls show signs of water damage and need repainting.
Major: Landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and needs trimming and maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KCDS4TFNVAAP6Z
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29