24 Ondaora Pkwy

Highland Falls, NY 10928

$395,000D

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,504 sqft · Built 1955 · SingleFamily · Pending · 2 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,572/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,071
• Tax + insurance: −$1,115
• HOA: −$10
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$540
• Net cashflow: $-1,165/mo
• Annual: $-13,982/yr
• Cap rate: 2.96%
• Cash-on-cash: -11.92%
• DSCR: 0.47
• 1% rule: 0.65%
• Cash to close: $110,600

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $395k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (46.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (34.9% below list).
• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $212k (46.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (9.7% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#335 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
• Highland Falls Central School District (rural): math 53% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #328 of 590 in NY (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Fort Montgomery Elementary School (201 students, 52% FRL); Highland Falls Intermediate School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #418 of 729 statewide, top 59%, 324 students, 56% FRL); James I O'Neill High School (math 87% / reading 70%, grade A-, #568 of 1,100 statewide, top 52%, 424 students, 30% FRL).
• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$66k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.