4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,072 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 107 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,342/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$331
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$282
Net cashflow
$609/mo
Annual
$7,302/yr
Cap rate
17.85%
Cash-on-cash
41.27%
DSCR
2.84
1% rule
2.12%
Cash to close
$17,696
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $609 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $437 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#348 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Anniston City (urban): math 2% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #128 of 129 in AL (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Anniston Middle School (math 2% / reading 0%, grade F, #257 of 257 statewide, top 100%, 393 students, 91% FRL); Anniston High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #265 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 466 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools at 89% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
12 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 5.1% in Anniston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KD47W90419W234
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29