4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,128 sqft ·
Built 2010
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,658/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,386
Tax + insurance
−$534
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$348
Net cashflow
$-1,611/mo
Annual
$-19,330/yr
Cap rate
2.04%
Cash-on-cash
-15.17%
DSCR
0.32
1% rule
0.36%
Cash to close
$127,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $455k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-19k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $170k (62.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (63.6% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $166k (63.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $49k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $46k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#174 in NY, #2,710 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Windsor Central School District (rural): math 58% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #236 of 590 in NY (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Floyd Bell Elementary School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #591 of 2,108 statewide, top 31%, 271 students, 45% FRL).
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
9 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $373k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$78k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 2.0% vs local median 6.4% in Binghamton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KD84YXED89C56R
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29