3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 152 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,483/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$330
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$312
Net cashflow
$709/mo
Annual
$8,507/yr
Cap rate
19.82%
Cash-on-cash
48.30%
DSCR
3.15
1% rule
2.36%
Cash to close
$17,615
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $434 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#99 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Yorktown Community Schools (suburban): math 49% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #48 of 301 in IN (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Yorktown Elementary School (math 62% / reading 49%, grade C, #188 of 994 statewide, top 19%, 672 students, 36% FRL); Yorktown Middle School (math 38% / reading 44%, grade F, #113 of 330 statewide, top 35%, 656 students, 37% FRL); Yorktown High School (math 42% / reading 77%, grade C+, #49 of 369 statewide, top 16%, 793 students, 33% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 171 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).
Delaware County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 3.5% in Yorktown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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