3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 209 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,617/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$297
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$340
Net cashflow
$-63/mo
Annual
$-758/yr
Cap rate
6.31%
Cash-on-cash
0.07%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-758/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (5.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (18.8% below list).
It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $162k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#73 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Terrytown Elementary School (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #467 of 646 statewide, top 73%, 625 students, 52% FRL); Livaudais Middle School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #185 of 218 statewide, top 85%, 621 students, 56% FRL); West Jefferson High School (math 10% / reading 17%, grade F, #229 of 265 statewide, top 86%, 1,524 students, 58% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 29% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $134k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.5% in Terrytown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29