2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,330 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Active
· 113 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,252/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,355
Tax + insurance
−$536
HOA
−$1,042
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$893
Net cashflow
$-574/mo
Annual
$-6,884/yr
Cap rate
4.76%
Cash-on-cash
-5.48%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$125,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $449k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-574 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $348k (22.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $425k (5.3% below list).
It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($409k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $348k (22.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,050 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: schools A-, employment B+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 626 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $277k; list at $449k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.5% in Palm Desert — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,252/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($88k/yr) (locally 1181% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-KDX6DNA9VRVAV1
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29