5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,900 sqft ·
Built 1984
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,519/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,293
Tax + insurance
−$1,153
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,579
Net cashflow
$-1,506/mo
Annual
$-18,077/yr
Cap rate
4.79%
Cash-on-cash
-5.38%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$336,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.20M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $934k (22.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $752k (37.3% below list).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.13M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $752k (37.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
New Canaan School District (suburban): math 81% / reading 86% proficiency, ranked #1 of 153 in CT (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $650k; list at $1.20M implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 1.5% in New Canaan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($250k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KE2WH50NYTMH4P
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29