None bd · None ba ·
— sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 135 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$50,291/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$10,672
Tax + insurance
−$3,458
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$10,561
Net cashflow
$25,600/mo
Annual
$307,200/yr
Cap rate
21.43%
Cash-on-cash
54.05%
DSCR
3.41
1% rule
2.47%
Cash to close
$569,800
Investor read
This is a multifamily listed at $2.04M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $26k ($307k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($50k rent vs $2.04M).
It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.79M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.79M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $61k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#8 in HI, #2,917 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: cost of living F.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 906 units permitted in Maui County in 2024 (289 in 5+ unit buildings).
Maui County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask is 14% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $295k; list at $2.04M implies a 590% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $570k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $50,291/mo this rent would consume 561% of the median local household income ($108k/yr) (locally 794% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KEJQN8CBKCGAKW
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29