3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,581 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,051/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$119
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$221
Net cashflow
$56/mo
Annual
$670/yr
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.91%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($670/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (15.9% below list).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#92 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
Claiborne Parish (rural): math 13% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #77 of 98 in LA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Homer Junior High School (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #207 of 218 statewide, top 95%, 278 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 75% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Claiborne Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Claiborne County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $86k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.0% in Minden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KFFE6H8A9BJ3V0
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29