4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,822 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,305/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$234
HOA
−$80
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$484
Net cashflow
$-586/mo
Annual
$-7,027/yr
Cap rate
4.53%
Cash-on-cash
-6.29%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.58%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $399k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-586 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $296k (25.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (42.2% below list).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($375k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $230k (42.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $43k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
North East ISD (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #276 of 826 in TX (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 225 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KFM7RN74MWV8D2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29