5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,296 sqft ·
Built 1872
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 219 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,829/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$190
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$804
Net cashflow
$2,259/mo
Annual
$27,104/yr
Cap rate
31.56%
Cash-on-cash
90.24%
DSCR
5.02
1% rule
3.48%
Cash to close
$30,772
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $753/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#58 in PA, #400 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F.
South Williamsport Area SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #350 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1872 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 31.6% vs local median 4.8% in South Williamsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1872 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29