4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,775 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,894/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,242
Tax + insurance
−$778
HOA
−$180
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$818
Net cashflow
$-124/mo
Annual
$-1,485/yr
Cap rate
5.95%
Cash-on-cash
-1.24%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$119,700
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $428k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-124 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $406k (5.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $389k (8.9% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $389k (8.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#351 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Crystal Lakes Elementary School (math 55% / reading 64%, grade B-, #690 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 788 students, 37% FRL); Boynton Beach Community High (math 13% / reading 25%, grade F, #565 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,547 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 489 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $122k; list at $428k implies a 249% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.3% in Boynton Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,894/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 902% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KGMTRZ8346WJ4D
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29