3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,764 sqft ·
Built 1875
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,278/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$464
Tax + insurance
−$339
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$268
Net cashflow
$207/mo
Annual
$2,484/yr
Cap rate
9.10%
Cash-on-cash
10.02%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.44%
Cash to close
$24,780
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($612 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#541 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Norwood-Norfolk Central School District (rural): math 30% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #568 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $27k; list at $88k implies a 228% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KH2K8K04GAWBQ1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29