3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,643 sqft ·
Built 1896
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,205/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$253
Net cashflow
$368/mo
Annual
$4,411/yr
Cap rate
11.81%
Cash-on-cash
19.69%
DSCR
1.88
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,158 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Tamaroa School District 5 (rural): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #375 of 919 in IL (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Tamaroa Elem School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,043 of 2,056 statewide, top 51%, 91 students, 0% FRL); Pinckneyville Comm High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 429 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Tamaroa School District 5 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Perry County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $80k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KHBVJ968F31YWY
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29