4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,623 sqft ·
Built 1956
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 265 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,372/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,984
Tax + insurance
−$585
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$918
Net cashflow
$-115/mo
Annual
$-1,375/yr
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.86%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$159,320
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $569k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-57/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $549k (3.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $437k (23.2% below list).
It's been on market 265 days — a 12% lower offer ($501k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $437k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#152 in FL, #2,286 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment D-.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 230 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $569k implies a 611% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in West Little River — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,372/mo this rent would consume 103% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 2419% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 265 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-KHE3K28H3W8282
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29