3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,342 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$58
Tax + insurance
−$18
HOA
−$424
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$829
Net cashflow
$2,620/mo
Annual
$31,442/yr
Cap rate
292.13%
Cash-on-cash
1020.86%
DSCR
46.42
1% rule
35.91%
Cash to close
$3,080
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $11k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $11k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($11k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $11k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $76 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $330 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#62 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
Summit School District No. RE-1 (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #35 of 86 in CO (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 614 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 308 units permitted in Summit County in 2024 (123 in 5+ unit buildings).
Summit County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 292.1% vs local median 0.7% in Breckenridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($121k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KHJ16P2SD27ZMC
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29