3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,291 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Manufactured
· Active
· 269 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,810/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$218
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$530/mo
Annual
$6,363/yr
Cap rate
11.19%
Cash-on-cash
17.50%
DSCR
1.78
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $530 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 269 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in WA, #1,277 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities D-.
College Place School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #170 of 291 in WA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 206 units permitted in Walla Walla County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walla Walla County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $130k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.5% in College Place — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KHK96KFCYVSKWY
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29