3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,792 sqft ·
Built 2002
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,673/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$763
Tax + insurance
−$127
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$351
Net cashflow
$432/mo
Annual
$5,179/yr
Cap rate
9.85%
Cash-on-cash
12.71%
DSCR
1.57
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$40,740
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $146k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $146k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#47 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Bridge Creek (rural): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #53 of 270 in OK (top 20%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Bridge Creek Early Childhood (494 students, 0% FRL); Bridge Creek Hs (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #96 of 447 statewide, top 26%, 508 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 38% district-wide (38 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 507 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 224 units permitted in Grady County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grady County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $15k; list at $146k implies a 870% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.6% in Blanchard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KHPCT19ER80XTN
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29