4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,930 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,553/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$194
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$326
Net cashflow
$797/mo
Annual
$9,559/yr
Cap rate
29.02%
Cash-on-cash
81.16%
DSCR
4.61
1% rule
3.45%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $797 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#227 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: George'S Creek Elementary (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #614 of 860 statewide, top 75%, 268 students, 68% FRL); Westmar Middle (math 6% / reading 30%, grade F, #165 of 225 statewide, top 75%, 232 students, 70% FRL); Mountain Ridge High School (math 32% / reading 72%, grade D+, #100 of 222 statewide, top 47%, 736 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 47% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KHVNDRAF2CKFXV
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29