3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,360 sqft ·
Built 1898
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,209/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$254
Net cashflow
$629/mo
Annual
$7,550/yr
Cap rate
25.17%
Cash-on-cash
67.41%
DSCR
4.00
1% rule
3.02%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#230 in IA, #4,353 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
Fort Madison Community School District (town): math 55% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #260 of 289 in IA (top 90%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 25.2% vs local median 5.3% in Fort Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KHYNSEF829ENMW
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29