2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
906 sqft ·
Built 1917
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 178 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,054/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$212
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$221
Net cashflow
$-323/mo
Annual
$-3,874/yr
Cap rate
4.14%
Cash-on-cash
-7.69%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
0.59%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-323 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (31.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (41.4% below list).
It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (41.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#43 in NE, #2,252 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
Grand Island Public Schools (urban): math 36% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #102 of 111 in NE (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Howard Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #445 of 502 statewide, top 91%, 471 students, 0% FRL); Walnut Middle School (math 30% / reading 27%, grade F, #116 of 128 statewide, top 91%, 853 students, 78% FRL); Grand Island Senior High School (math 22% / reading 20%, grade F, #249 of 261 statewide, top 95%, 2,650 students, 65% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 213 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 246 units permitted in Hall County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hall County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $180k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KJ6PWX7BZCP52C
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29