26 Victory St

Bridgeport, CT 06606

$644,000C

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,534 sqft · Built 1916 · MultiFamily · Under Contract · 34 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $7,093/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,377
• Tax + insurance: −$1,050
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,490
• Net cashflow: $1,176/mo
• Annual: $14,114/yr
• Cap rate: 8.48%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.83%
• DSCR: 1.35
• 1% rule: 1.10%
• Cash to close: $180,320

Investor read

• This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $644k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $588/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $644k).
• It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($625k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $625k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in CT, #1,374 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
• Bridgeport School District (urban): math 9% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #151 of 153 in CT (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 852 units permitted in Greater Bridgeport Planning Region in 2024 (698 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $335k; list at $644k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 41% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.0% in Bridgeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $7,093/mo this rent would consume 116% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 2163% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.