3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Manufactured
· Active
· 132 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,298/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$87
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$273
Net cashflow
$205/mo
Annual
$2,459/yr
Cap rate
8.05%
Cash-on-cash
6.27%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (7.3% below list).
It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#508 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Barbour County (rural): math 10% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #133 of 133 in AL (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 95% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Barbour County Intermediate School (math 0% / reading 16%, grade F, #597 of 627 statewide, top 95%, 263 students, 100% FRL); Barbour County High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #238 of 305 statewide, top 79%, 317 students, 100% FRL).
Market conditions: 213 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Barbour County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Barbour County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 89% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.3% in Eufaula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KK39Y6F2ZFFFKA
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29