2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Other
· Pending
· 421 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,324/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$701
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$278
Net cashflow
$229/mo
Annual
$2,743/yr
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.33%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$37,422
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $134k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (0.9% below list).
It's been on market 421 days — a 12% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($924 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
North Bend SD 13 (town): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #21 of 58 in OR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 421 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: roof
— No visible damage, but age is unknown
Major: flooring
— No visible flooring, but age is unknown
Major: interior walls/paint
— No visible interior, but age is unknown
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible systems, but age is unknown