2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
888 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$854/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$430
Tax + insurance
−$101
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$179
Net cashflow
$144/mo
Annual
$1,727/yr
Cap rate
8.40%
Cash-on-cash
7.52%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$22,960
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($854 rent vs $82k).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#212 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
Enid (town): math 19% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #168 of 270 in OK (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Monroe Es (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #311 of 845 statewide, top 40%, 301 students, 0% FRL); Enid Hs (math 14% / reading 26%, grade F, #236 of 447 statewide, top 61%, 2,252 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Garfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Garfield County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $65k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.0% in Enid — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KMHYBQ5VSEXTJ7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29