4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,229 sqft ·
Built 1901
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 127 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,600/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,150
Tax + insurance
−$420
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$756
Net cashflow
$274/mo
Annual
$3,293/yr
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.87%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$114,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $410k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $360k (12.2% below list).
It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($361k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $360k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#134 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Dudley-Charlton Reg (rural): math 34% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #166 of 302 in MA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $410k implies a 331% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KNAACX3147MXYD
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29