3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
4,016 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,922/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,411
Tax + insurance
−$386
HOA
−$4
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$404
Net cashflow
$-282/mo
Annual
$-3,383/yr
Cap rate
5.04%
Cash-on-cash
-4.49%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$75,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $269k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-282 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (18.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (28.5% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($265k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $192k (28.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Forest Heights Stem Academy (math 45% / reading 57%, grade C-, #88 of 454 statewide, top 19%, 739 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 69% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 51% at this address vs 24% district-wide (+26 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Little Rock School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KNJPE00FTWZCPW
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29