1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
750 sqft ·
Built 1961
· Condo
· Pending
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,557/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$266
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$537
Net cashflow
$1,124/mo
Annual
$13,487/yr
Cap rate
18.20%
Cash-on-cash
42.51%
DSCR
2.89
1% rule
2.13%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#116 in NY, #1,876 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A; Watch: cost of living F.
Ossining Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #104 of 590 in NY (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Brookside School (727 students, 50% FRL); Anne M Dorner Middle School (math 42% / reading 64%, grade C+, #231 of 729 statewide, top 32%, 1,033 students, 51% FRL); Ossining High School (math 86% / reading 82%, grade A, #404 of 1,100 statewide, top 37%, 1,552 students, 51% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 3.0% in Ossining — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen flooring
— The flooring is visibly damaged and needs replacement.
Major: Bathroom flooring
— The flooring is visibly damaged and needs replacement.
Major: Kitchen appliances
— The appliances are outdated and need to be replaced.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— The fixtures are outdated and need to be replaced.
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