1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
466 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Condo
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,728/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$650
Tax + insurance
−$180
HOA
−$619
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$363
Net cashflow
$-84/mo
Annual
$-1,006/yr
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.90%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$34,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $124k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (11.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $124k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($120k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $857 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Tangelo Park Elementary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,121 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 457 students, 83% FRL); Southwest Middle (math 49% / reading 53%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,385 students, 40% FRL); Dr. Phillips High (math 21% / reading 49%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 3,202 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Orange average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $106k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.0% in Orlando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KPC6BW7JQKNJP2
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29