3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,046/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$364
Tax + insurance
−$157
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$305/mo
Annual
$3,658/yr
Cap rate
11.56%
Cash-on-cash
18.80%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$19,460
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($481 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Covington Community School Corporation (town): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #42 of 301 in IN (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Covington Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #237 of 994 statewide, top 26%, 414 students, 41% FRL); Covington Community High School (math 47% / reading 77%, grade B-, #41 of 369 statewide, top 12%, 284 students, 40% FRL).
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Fountain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fountain County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KPGSSXBT7RH9Q7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29