3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,318 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Condo
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,987/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$358
HOA
−$380
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$417
Net cashflow
$-296/mo
Annual
$-3,554/yr
Cap rate
4.64%
Cash-on-cash
-5.90%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $215k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-296 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (19.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (7.6% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $172k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#133 in VA, #4,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Hampton City Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 131 in VA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: A.W.E. Bassette Elementary (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #900 of 1,108 statewide, top 83%, 494 students, 87% FRL); C. Alton Lindsay Middle (math 52% / reading 57%, grade B-, #194 of 342 statewide, top 60%, 707 students, 73% FRL); Hampton High (math 60% / reading 75%, grade B, #183 of 319 statewide, top 58%, 1,359 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 49% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 68 units permitted in Hampton city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
CashFlowRE · CFR-KQCFR71VDSXY7Y
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29